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That’s why La Niña is almost guaranteed to feel like a “bust” somewhere in the country, L’Heureux acknowledges. It would be amazingly rare to see a “perfect” La Niña outcome.

For each player, we calculate the standard deviation based on a variety of factors and use that to calculate the ceiling (75th-percentile performance) the floor (25th-percentile performance) and the ...

But La Niña years aren’t all identical. Some look a lot like the map below, some are pretty close, and others are anomalies. That’s why La Niña is almost guaranteed to feel like a “bust” somewhere in ...